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Geek Room > Blog > Science > The cities where the climate is set to change the most by 2084
Science

The cities where the climate is set to change the most by 2084

Last updated: 2024/07/15 at 3:43 PM
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Climate change is set to significantly alter conditions in many cities over the next six decades, a new interactive map developed by scientists at the University of Maryland has revealed. This map illustrates the dramatic ways in which the climate of your city will change by 2080, bringing alarming predictions for urban areas worldwide.

Contents
Northern Hemisphere: Moving Closer to the EquatorEurope: From North to SouthAsia: Rising Heat and HumidityExtreme and Unprecedented ConditionsThe Interactive Map: A Wake-Up Call

Northern Hemisphere: Moving Closer to the Equator

In the Northern Hemisphere, cities are projected to experience climate conditions that are currently found much closer to the equator. For example, Edmonton, Canada, will feel like Kansas, with a temperature increase of 7.1°C (12.6°F). London’s summers are expected to be 4.6°C (8.3°F) warmer and 10% drier, resembling the current climate of Labarde, a town in Southwest France.

Washington D.C. will see its climate become akin to swampy, humid Louisiana, warming by 5.7°C (10.3°F) and becoming 12% wetter. New York will experience a shift towards the climate of Arkansas, with winters 5°C (8.9°F) warmer and summers 6.7°C (12.1°F) warmer.

Europe: From North to South

European cities will also undergo significant changes. Helsinki’s summers are predicted to be 5.7°C (10.2°F) hotter and 4% drier, resulting in a climate similar to Hungary’s. Madrid will resemble Andalusia in Southern Spain, with summer temperatures soaring by 7.8°C (14.1°F).

Asia: Rising Heat and Humidity

Asian cities will face some of the most rapid climate shifts. Tokyo’s summers will become 4.4°C (8°F) warmer and 13% wetter, giving it a climate similar to East China. This change poses increased risks of more violent storms due to warmer, wetter air. Shanghai’s summers will be 4.8°C (8.6°F) hotter, and winters 10% wetter, akin to the current climate of flood-prone Pakistan. Beijing will see an increase of 5.4°C (9.7°F) in summer temperatures and a 26% rise in summer rainfall.

Extreme and Unprecedented Conditions

The map highlights that some regions will experience climate conditions more extreme than anything currently found on Earth. Cities near the equator, such as Ho Chi Minh City, Bangkok, and Singapore, will see unprecedented changes, with no current climate analogues available. This is due to the continued rise in temperature and humidity, pushing these regions into uncharted climatic territory.

Dr. Matthew Fitzpatrick, the lead researcher, emphasizes that Northern Hemisphere cities are moving towards equatorial climates. He warns that regions near the equator will face increasingly unique and extreme conditions, with no existing places on Earth representing their future climates.

The Interactive Map: A Wake-Up Call

The interactive map utilizes data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to project how climates will transform for 40,580 locations globally. Each city is paired with a current location that reflects its predicted 2080 climate if emissions are not significantly reduced.

This map serves as a stark reminder of the urgent need for action to mitigate climate change. The transformations it predicts underscore the profound impact that rising temperatures and shifting weather patterns will have on urban environments worldwide. As the climate continues to change, cities must prepare for a future that could be dramatically different from today.

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